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The clinical value of Caprini model in predicting postpartum venous thrombosis in elderly parturients |
CHEN Jie, HUANG Hao |
Obstetrics and Gynecology, the First Clinical Medical College of Guangdong Medical University, Zhanjiang 524000 |
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Abstract Objective To investigate the validity and clinical value of Caprini model in predicting the occurrence of venous thromboembolism (VTE) in advanced maternal age (AMA). Methods A retrospective case study was conducted to select 35 AMAs born in our center from January 2020 to October 2023 with postpartum diagnosis of VTE as the obervation group, and 70 AMAs born in our center during the same period with postpartum diagnosis of non-VTE as the control group according to the principle of 1: 2. Various clinical data of the two groups of patients were collected, and then the Caprini venous thrombosis risk prediction model was used to score various risk items for the two groups of patients. The differences in Caprini score between the two groups were compared by T-test, and the risk factors and risk stratification under this model were evaluated by Chi-square test and Logistic regression analysis. The independent risk factors of postpartum VTE and the relationship between risk stratification and the risk of VTE were analyzed. Results The average Caprini score of the observation group was significantly higher than that of the control group. Based on the single factor analysis of Caprini model entries, there is no statistically significant difference in six factors: bed time, abnormal lung function, family history of VTE, history of abortion (including unknown cause or habitual), history of inflammatory bowel, and laparoscopic surgery ; Patients in the observation group had a higher proportion in age over 40 years old, central venous access indentation, minor surgery, major open surgery, leg swelling, varicose veins, and history of VTE disease ; The observation and control groups were not comparable in terms of BMI, severe lung disease, malignancy, oral contraceptives or estrogen, and pregnancy or 1 month postpartum. Logistic analysis results showed that indentable central venous access, leg swelling, and varicose veins were independent risk factors for VTE in advanced maternal age. Conclusion Caprini venous thrombosis risk prediction model can effectively stratification the perinatal risk of VTE in elderly women. When patients have central venous access indentation, leg swelling, and varicose veins, it indicates that the risk of perinatal VTE in elderly women will increase significantly, this study provides a new scientific clue for the prevention and treatment of perinatal VTE in advanced maternal age.
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Received: 28 April 2024
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